Pacific Security Outlook Report 2026


The 2026 Pacific Security Outlook Report is the Centre’s annual strategic assessment on Pacific security and its only publicly available product. It provides a comprehensive assessment of the increasingly complex security environment facing the Blue Pacific region, highlighting a convergence of challenges described as a “polycrisis.” Central among these is climate change, identified as the greatest threat to regional security, wellbeing, and prosperity, with impacts such as rising sea levels, extreme weather events, and pressures on food and water systems requiring urgent and coordinated responses. The report also notes the influence of shifting geopolitical dynamics and global tensions, which are placing additional strain on established multilateral systems.

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OUR ROLE

Strategic Assessments

STRATEGIC ASSESSMENTS

We fuse open source and authorised unclassified information into strategic assessments relevant to Boe Declaration priorities.

Domain Awareness

DOMAIN AWARENESS

We provide self-service domain awareness through media monitoring and an unclassified geospatial portal

Capacity Building

CAPACITY BUILDING

We support development of national and regional analytical capacity and security coordination

Information Sharing

INFORMATION SHARING

We support relevant national and regional agencies to work across silos and share information

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